Massively Positioned in Japanese Stock Market, 10 Years Ahead of Western Institutions
Context: In the 1950s-60s, Japan was rebuilding from WWII ruins; Western investors broadly avoided Japanese markets. Templeton discovered Japanese stocks had P/E ratios of only ~4x, far below the U.S.'s 15-20x, identifying it as a rare global value pocket.
Decision: Despite other Western investors' avoidance, deeply researched Japanese companies and massively bought Japanese stocks, becoming one of the first Western fund managers to enter Japan.
Reasoning: Japan's extremely low valuations reflected excessive 'defeated nation' pessimism rather than true corporate value; Japan's industrial base, education level, and diligent population would drive long-term economic recovery.
Outcome: Japanese stocks rose more than 100-fold over the next 20 years; Templeton's early positioning brought enormous returns to Templeton Funds, proving the effectiveness of global contrarian investing.
Lesson: A global perspective enables investors to discover extreme value opportunities beyond domestic market blind spots; geopolitical biases are the most expensive mistakes in international investing.
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